NBA Point Spread and Betting Diagnosis
Phoenix is just 11-40 complete this season, with four wins in 25 attempts away from home. Overall, the Suns have retained lots of their games alongside an 11-14 record from the spread as the visiting team. They’re only 2-7 ATS this season and 13-28 ATS in their last 41 against divisional opponents.
The Lakers are 15-11 on their home floor up to now this year. In general, they’re 20-27 against the spread, including a 9-15 record against the spread at home. Oddly enough, they are only 7-17 ATS when facing teams with a losing record. They have covered and won seven of the last ten meetings between the teams, though.
One thing we know for sure is that Phoenix has experienced a extremely tough time slowing down its opponents this season. The Suns are have allowed at least 120 points at backend losses, while offering up 111 points or more in each of their last seven losses. Devin Booker and Kelly Oubre Jr. have done their very best to carry Phoenix despite their bad defense. But even with Booker averaging 25.2 points per match and Oubre averaging 17.2 points per game over the previous seven days, the Suns haven’t managed to snap out of the funk.
One of the main concerns today is that they are playing without Deandre Ayton, T.J. Warren and De’Anthony Melton. That’s two of the best three point-getters while Melton had been the team’s top point guard. It is a lot to overcome for a group which was terrible to start with.
Los Angeles Lakers
The challenge for the Lakers on Sunday night is that they may be without a lot more talent besides James. They are hoping Kyle Kuzma is ready to proceed after he missed Saturday’s clinic and is thought of as a game-time decision for Sunday. Remember, the staff is without Lonzo Ball. James, Kuzma and Ball are just three of the top four players on the team concerning minutes played.
That usually means the Lakers will need men Brandon Ingram and Ivica Zubac to carry the load — even if Kuzma plays. Ingram has averaged 19.3 points a game over the past week but he’s mostly been a disappointment this year. He has a PER of just 11.9. Zubac has given the group a shot in the arm as he’s averaged 17.8 points and 7.8 rebounds in his past four contests.
There’s no question that the Lakers are struggling and that they’ll be shorthanded. However, declines in the home to the Phoenix Suns — who’s equally shorthanded — are inexcusable. Look for the Lakers to win however, the Suns to pay.
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